Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000605 0.000689 0.000778 0.000879 0.000991 0.001110 0.001245
2025-11-09 0.000473 0.000588 0.000719 0.000878 0.001063 0.001271 0.001523
2025-11-16 0.000387 0.000513 0.000662 0.000851 0.001080 0.001348 0.001681
2025-11-23 0.000325 0.000456 0.000618 0.000831 0.001098 0.001420 0.001832
2025-11-30 0.000284 0.000419 0.000592 0.000826 0.001130 0.001505 0.001997
2025-12-07 0.000251 0.000388 0.000570 0.000824 0.001162 0.001589 0.002160
2025-12-14 0.000220 0.000357 0.000544 0.000813 0.001180 0.001653 0.002297
2025-12-21 0.000193 0.000327 0.000518 0.000799 0.001190 0.001705 0.002420
2025-12-28 0.000180 0.000317 0.000518 0.000819 0.001248 0.001821 0.002627
2026-01-04 0.000166 0.000305 0.000512 0.000831 0.001293 0.001920 0.002814
2026-01-11 0.000149 0.000285 0.000494 0.000824 0.001311 0.001981 0.002951
2026-01-18 0.000134 0.000267 0.000477 0.000816 0.001325 0.002038 0.003082
2026-01-25 0.000123 0.000255 0.000470 0.000823 0.001363 0.002128 0.003263
2026-02-01 0.000112 0.000241 0.000458 0.000822 0.001387 0.002201 0.003421
2026-02-08 0.000098 0.000220 0.000432 0.000796 0.001374 0.002218 0.003500
2026-02-15 0.000086 0.000203 0.000411 0.000777 0.001369 0.002246 0.003594
2026-02-22 0.000078 0.000191 0.000399 0.000773 0.001386 0.002308 0.003738
2026-03-01 0.000071 0.000181 0.000390 0.000771 0.001407 0.002372 0.003887
2026-03-08 0.000063 0.000170 0.000375 0.000760 0.001413 0.002416 0.004005
2026-03-15 0.000056 0.000158 0.000360 0.000747 0.001412 0.002449 0.004108
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000156 0.000364 0.000766 0.001467 0.002568 0.004343
2026-03-29 0.000051 0.000152 0.000362 0.000777 0.001508 0.002667 0.004547
2026-04-05 0.000046 0.000144 0.000352 0.000771 0.001519 0.002718 0.004681